Bitcoin CVDD Model Predicts Bottom Near $48K
BITCOIN

Bitcoin CVDD Model Predicts Bottom Near $48K

2 min read

Bitcoin (BTC) fell beneath $60,000 on June 5, slipping below its February low of $60,130, before rallying back to roughly $65,000. The rapid descent triggered a rare on‑chain signal that analysts associate with capitulation phases. Investors closely monitor this movement as it could shape the next price trajectory.

Price Movement and Recovery

The cryptocurrency’s price breach of the $60,000 threshold marked the first sub‑$60K dip since early 2023. After the plunge, the market recovered enough to push BTC back above $65,000, restoring some confidence among traders. Nonetheless, the brief breach exposed lingering volatility in the crypto market.

On‑Chain Indicators

CryptoQuant analyst Axel Adler Jr. highlighted that Bitcoin’s Adjusted Sell‑side Risk Ratio (SSRR) entered its red zone for the first time in the current market cycle. The metric, which compares the value of coins in profit versus those underwater, now shows that loss‑bearing supply outweighs profit‑bearing supply. This shift signals heightened stress among holders and mirrors patterns observed in previous capitulation episodes.

Potential Bottom Forecast

Another valuation model, referencing historical trends, points to a local price floor near $48,000 for BTC. The model suggests that the $48,000 level could represent the bottom of the current cycle, similar to bottoms recorded in 2019 and 2023. If the market respects this support, investors may see a new upward swing in the blockchain asset’s price.