Polymarket trader “fishalive” turned roughly $428,000 into more than $4.7 million within 90 minutes by betting that Spain would not win its June 15, 2026 World Cup match against Cabo Verde.
Bet Structure and Immediate Outcome
Trader “fishalive” purchased millions of “No” shares, each priced at about $0.09, to wager against a Spanish victory. Prediction markets had assigned Spain a near‑90 percent chance of winning, making the “No” outcome appear unlikely. When the game concluded in a 0‑0 stalemate, the contract settled at $1 per share, delivering a windfall that eclipsed the original stake.
Additional Handicap Position and Total Gains
In parallel, the trader backed Cabo Verde to cover a +2.5‑goal handicap, a market that also paid out after the goalless draw. Combining the primary “No” position with the handicap bet generated close to