Standard Chartered has forecasted that XRP exchange‑traded funds could pull in between $4 billion and $8 billion during their first year if the CLARITY Act is enacted, a figure three to six times larger than the $1.44 billion amassed since the ETFs launched in November 2025.
Projection Basis
The bank’s estimate hinges on a detailed breakdown of recent XRP buyers versus holders who remain on the sidelines. It also incorporates a persistent sell‑order wall near the $1.45 price level that has restrained upward movement throughout 2026. Analysts argue that these mechanics determine whether the projected inflows are achievable or overly optimistic.
Current Market Activity
On June 4, 2026, spot XRP ETFs recorded a net inflow of $3.83 million, reversing a $5.34 million outflow recorded on June 3 that halted a month‑long streak of positive flows. ETF holdings now represent roughly 1.38 % of the total circulating XRP supply.
Price Context
Throughout 2026, XRP has slipped about 40 % year‑to‑date, trading in a band between $1.13 and $1.18, which sits roughly 70 % below its all‑time high of $3.65. The combination of declining price, limited ETF exposure, and the pending CLARITY Act creates a pivotal moment for investors assessing the coin’s future trajectory.