Ripple's XRP could reach its cycle bottom in the fourth quarter of 2026, according to market analyst PyraTime, even as the broader crypto market enjoys a lift from the recent United States‑Iran peace agreement. Over the past weekend XRP rose 4.8%, yet it remains down 11% for the month and 35% year‑to‑date.
Pattern Analysis
PyraTime overlaid two distinct XRP bear cycles—one from 2022 and the current downturn—by aligning their pre‑bull‑run lows and tracking price trajectories. Both cycles display a near‑identical arc, with XRP trading roughly 70% beneath the peak around 680‑700 days after each bottom.
During the 2022 episode, XRP slipped to about $0.58 in January, marking a 69.7% decline from its $1.96 peak and occurring roughly 680 days after the March 2020 low of $0.1013. The present cycle mirrors this cadence, as XRP fell to $1.05 on June 6, 2026, positioning it on the same downward slope.
Market Outlook
If the historical pattern holds, the next inflection point could emerge in Q4 2026, offering a potential bottom for XRP investors. Such a development may prompt a reassessment of blockchain exposure and influence broader crypto sentiment as market participants anticipate a reversal.