比特币价格展望：需求强劲，BTC 能否重回 8 万美元？

Bitcoin briefly hit the $79,000 level earlier this week but has since retraced and is now trading around $77,700.

The leading cryptocurrency’s recovery above $76,000 has strengthened expectations that the asset could reclaim $80,000 in the near term.

Analysts point to rising institutional demand and improving market structure as support for further upside.

强劲的 ETF 需求使 BTC 保持在 77,000 美元以上

The cryptocurrency market has been trading sideways over the past few days, with Bitcoin trading below the $78,000 level on Friday.

其近期上涨在很大程度上是由于美国现货比特币交易所交易基金（ETF）的大量资金流入以及大型企业买家的持续增持推动的。

CoinGlass 获得的数据显示，截至 4 月 21 日的五个美国交易日中，比特币 ETF 录得 11.2 亿美元的净流入，表明在持续数月的资金流出后，机构需求重新出现。

On Thursday, the ETFs recorded an inflow of $223 million despite Bitcoin’s price still trading below $78,000. In the past month, Bitcoin funds have attracted $1.87 billion in net inflows.

CF Benchmarks 研究主管 Gabe Selby 在评论当前市场状况时指出，强劲的资金流表明 BTC 的复苏是由机构配置者而非短期投机资本主导的。

从该流量概况的绝对规模来看，这更多是机构分配者的资金，例如顾问和主要财富渠道，而不是短期零售或对冲基金基础贸易流量

加布·塞尔比

CF Benchmarks 研究主管

In addition to Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin’s demand is also visible in the spot market. Michael Saylor-led Strategy purchased 34,164 $BTC last week for approximately $2.54 billion.

According to Selby, these purchases have reinforced demand at levels well below Bitcoin's October 2025 peak.

However, analysts warn that Bitcoin could encounter short-term profit-taking soon.

CryptoQuant data showed that the realized price for Bitcoin ETF investors is near $76,400, close to spot prices above $78,000.

A push above these levels (to roughly $79,600) could trigger profit-taking by short-term whale holders.

自 11 月以来，该集团一直处于亏损状态，未实现亏损总计约 43 亿美元。

比特币有望突破 80,000 美元

The $BTC/USD 4-hour chart remains bearish and efficient, but a breakout above $80,000 could switch the narrative to bullish.

Bitcoin has maintained its price above the recent support of $73,789, suggesting growing retail and institutional demand.

相对强度指数 60 高于中性 50，但由于市场尚未处于超买区域，因此仍有增长空间。

The MACD lines are also above the zero level, suggesting that the bulls remain in control.

On the upside, the bulls would face the initial resistance at the $80,979 level.

每日蜡烛线突破该水平将使领先的加密货币自 1 月 30 日以来首次触及 84,391 美元的高点。

然而，如果阻力位保持不变，卖家可能会将 BTC 的价格推向诱导流动性 (ILQ) 和周日低点 73,798 美元。