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先锋加密货币比特币在周三美国市场交易时段表现出低波动性，交易价格为 76,204 美元。 This consolidation with slight overhead supply pressure at $77,500 can be linked to investors waiting patiently for the US Federal Reserve’s rate cut decision, scheduled to be released today at 2:00 p.m.等。

The lack of buying pressure is also linked with geopolitical tension in the middle east as despite the extended ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran, the dual blockade in the Strait of Hormuz and a fragile, stalled diplomatic process has kept the market sentiment in fear.

In addition, veteran trader Peter Brandt rejects the highly optimistic target of $250,000 $BTC in 2026, further dampening the retail’s hope for a significant recovery in near-term. While the current market outlook signals the continuation of a sideways trend in price, institutional firms have steadily built their $BTC portfolio in the first 4-months of this year, signaling their conviction for a potential rebound.

市场概况：2026 年 4 月 29 日

4 月 29 日星期三，比特币 $BTC-0.35% 价格跌至 76,000 美元，盘中下跌 0.36%。尽管市值在 1.52 万亿美元左右波动，但 BTC 的 24 小时交易量却达到 360 亿美元。

与此同时，加密货币恐惧与贪婪指数目前为 26，表明存在“恐惧”情绪。这比昨天的 33 有所下降，表明投资者的恐惧情绪激增。

Although the sentiment is still wary, it has improved from last month’s “Extreme Fear” level of 8. This recent upward movement over the past 30 days suggests that although the market is still reactive to geopolitical events and volatile, it has started to move from the panic of March to a more neutral sentiment, albeit still anxious.

目前 BTC 的前景为中性至看跌，是由于投资者对美联储今天的利率决定保持耐心。市场预期美联储将在 2026 年 4 月 29 日的会议上将利率维持在 3.5% 至 3.75%，这是连续第三次维持利率不变。 The market is closely watching Chair Jerome Powell’s last press conference for hints of the future, given rising oil prices with the U.S.-Iran conflict and 3.3% inflation.

Some are predicting a December interest rate cut, but others anticipate a higher-for-longer policy in the face of ongoing geopolitical and inflationary concerns.

公制

当前值

24小时变更

解读

恐惧与贪婪指数

26

7分

恐惧

全球市值

2.54万亿美元

-0.44%

在重大宏观事件发生前坚挺

24小时交易量

1293.9 亿美元

+5.6%

热闹的活动

$BTC 的主导地位

59.8%

稳定

市场集中于高盘资产

尽管第一季度价格调整，企业比特币持有量仍大幅上涨

2026 年第一季度是比特币作为机构资产的转型期。 Despite a correction from the 2025 peak price, institutional interest in Bitcoin continued to strengthen, with these investors now holding more than 2.2 million $BTC (more than 10% of the total supply). During this quarter, a net 69,000 $BTC were added, reflecting that institutional investors considered this a buying opportunity in a volatile market.

企业部门在这一增长中发挥了关键作用。上市公司和私营公司都增加了近 62,000 美元的比特币持有量，强化了“比特币作为储备资产”的说法。由于散户情绪参差不齐，导致 62,000 美元的 BTC 流出，机构纷纷成为净买家。

This pattern reflects widening gaps between the short-term retail buyers and the corporate holders, led by aggressive accumulators such as MicroStrategy and a maturing spot ETF industry that offers the infrastructure for significant capital inflows.

以下列表包括由 BitcoinTreasuries.net 等平台追踪的一些顶级企业金库

公司

股票行情指示器

报告 BTC 持有量

最新活动（2026 年第一季度至第二季度）

策略（MicroStrategy）

磁力传输技术

818,334 美元比特币

2026 年 4 月增加了约 37,000 美元 BTC。

二十一资本

二十一

43,514 美元比特币

2026 年第一季度购买了约 18,000 美元的 BTC。

元行星公司

日元

40,177 美元比特币

2026 年第一季度增加了约 35,000 美元 BTC；现在全球前10名。

玛拉控股

玛拉

38,689 美元比特币。

2026 年 3 月减持约 15,000 美元 BTC

比特币标准金库

BSTR

30,021 美元比特币

最近上市（IPO）

看涨

BLSH

23,300 美元比特币

稳健持有

防暴平台

暴乱

保持稳定持仓。

Coinbase 全球

硬币

14,458 美元比特币

将这些保存在公司金库中

专家观点：Peter Brandt 等

In a recent tweet, Veteran futures trader Peter Brandt warns crypto participants that the widely anticipated Bitcoin price prediction of $250,000 $BTC in 2026 is unrealistic. His attached chart highlights the BTCs’ steady rising within the formation of two parallel trendlines, revealing the formation of channel patterns.

布兰特表示，虽然这种模式并不能阻止价格大幅上涨，但从理论上讲，它并不是看涨的触底模式。

然而，花旗集团